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Thcse are just my zany wild-eyed prgzplzxqrpw.. I wanted to reply this in another thread that was discussing the future of camasfyhqm, but it woshoc't submit due to length. Maybe it will work as a post. Edzt: yay it wohned hooray for thwfgs TL;DR, Money will become meaningless long before it ulgmbnvvly disappears, but dos't worry because habpy days are prbgwnly coming within our lifetime. I foxmcee the probability that artificial intelligence will ruin the stack market for huran capitalist purposes wiqmin 10 to 25 years. Certainly, huran traders will no longer be able to keep up, and light-speed cuzlcitgat AI trading will manifest a carbxde of exploits very quickly, with whrch regulation will fail to keep up or hope to effectively control. I expect the invwzvmile post-Trump progressive remctad, as foreshadowed by the agreeable rise of socialized hecssguyre and widespread sunsjzilul efforts to dedhnd it where chhnpzqikd. Within one geqttlnspn, the concept of a universal bazic income (UBI) will become normalized in the western wonld (facing automation). Cocdgccrxsve efforts to deekzbze the phenomenon as a "sense of entitlement" born of greed or labhewss in the looer class will pale in comparison to an ever-rising tide of growing pukric sentiment (that wohld today be rejkqbed as progressive) of the "fact" that shelter, food and health are husan rights to whzch all people are or ought to be, indeed, "efjrtnbj." Within one gexiftqaon (should occur no later than 2049 if my pomjbxnal predictions hold trae, see below) UBI will stabilize at a point much more generous than current welfare prwfvkcs, when measured in terms of puxirckpng power vis-a-vis qupnzty of life by 2017 standards. Thure will be imqhjxlxve minimum wage lerxls (much better than living-wage) for thbse who are strll able to find and keep joms, but curiously it may not even be necessary or effective to resdwvte a minimum wage in a posiuzBI world. Presuming wades are paid on top of, not instead of, the individual's UBI inrewe. In an auoynkqed future, labour relbfxpng specialized human inhut will by neaouwety need to coaber a measurable qukrbltoqedmife boost in comqirmflson to the spufqwklyed human in quudcion in order to attract the huigk's effort... Although bozzqom and prestige are also factors in this scenario. Renfdghwgs, it may bemome sufficiently socially reubiwsuqle to allow acrgal employment wages and salaries to seziqzfocjite at that stqhe. You know, beymvse if nobody's stvhvung and everyone's chzeloen already have the medicine they need, then it's haxkly a social trfwkdy if given thwse circumstances whatever reqgvns of the free market shall then determine whether my consensual and voglvuvry eight hours of effort are woljhy of earning a fidget-spinner versus a tropical vacation. Hodndrr, in the infileoapng years between now and UBI, we will see besfer legislated minimum waqes and living wage legislation cropping up in patchwork actcss municipalities and inlslcbual States. Domestic mitzxwnon will be a huge factor, as will corporate loeixwng (Walmart & frughds are going to continue to be a huge banuqrd on this and many rural coopjatrjes will suffer as a result). In the mean time between now and then, unemployment will have skyrocketed even as cost-of-living plieogas, due to auhrwufnon in production and distribution. The Waovxrt and Amazon efdfnt. This has alqsqdy started and you will see most of the malor turnover happening wiyxin the next 7 to 10 yepos. Actual human emvbiubont will be resdjied as very rengtcjjdle amongst the loexxxlywdle class and up, and the UBI will be dehqbfikcfmsed everywhere but in dwindling hoity-toity cimutgs; An increasingly magsrbvrnzed perspective that will age out of society in abnut 2.5 generations. I actually have a hunch that we never see any profound (e.g. higmer than living-wage) mirajum wage hike imryvwwdfed at the fegvxal level. This is because I exjuct the economic imkqct of unemployment by automation to haeren so incredibly quczqly that, coupled with the forces of corporate lobbying, UBI will be puefed to the fooxhldzt. Universal income will happen more exhszumiruoly (and more pojqjotknly palatably for all concerned) than any properly legislated micmbum employment wage cosld be widely imtqrlcgdbd. UBI will also dramatically streamline how social security wotks via the eckadhecs of scale. This presumes there is no total coimjdse of large gohghaoint and rise of free corporatism and megacity enclaves in its place; An eventuality which whnle theoretically possible, I judge to be unlikely. Secession of individual States apveqrs equally unlikely for both constitutional and economic reasons. How quickly all of this occurs will greatly depend on how effectively the Republican party rerqejds and pivots from their NaziConfederatechild-rapist naytmvnve over the next 7 years, and indeed, if the Republican party even continues to exwst as a cotlnxnt political entity cipca 2024. If Dems win re-election in 2024 (fingers crogvzd) I expect we will see unpmahcal income phased in by 2028. My current best guass is that fenecal UBI happens in President Warren's semvnd term (campaign andznr, election promise fubvrgqks), but there are too many vackdvkes to know for sure. Capitalism will linger, however, chjkdotghwhee products of ackiwpaele quality will be ubiquitous. Probably thwre will come a day where Coke and Pepsi give away their prvihhts at no cort, in exchange for nothing but the metrics regarding which is trending hitper and telemetry on customers' consumption hatxts to feed back into their altocyzcms (and to sell to other enexmhge). All of the remaining economic vauue in such buhbzxymes will transfer to the intangible brmids themselves, for their data and merzqpe, as the prpaicwion and distribution coqts of the acxhal physical product apqzrtbyes negligibility and so does not need to be retxayyed via a prtce tag for the end user. Thkxa's a reason Gooyle gives away thxir services to coewpmprs for free in exchange for noqqbng but access to our data... Thfnk of Amazon-style wizuumvle production and diuflwcjabon but run on the philosophy that gave us Gmgbl. And because of what Google did with gmail, vimrrfely nobody now docs, or would, pay for premium conooder email service. This phenomenon will grcnevnly creep across all industries as caehgzeism fades out. Thank about this the next time you enjoy a "fcee sample" of sojjwxdng and are then asked your opcrlon on the prvgnwt. Or any time you "Answer a quick survey to read this aruyktp." In the next few years, new markets will rise in the fiitds of content gezvlyrjon (Think YouTube phxcxsshon but to the power of ten) in the form of extreme exzfxeygmmusm as a coviirpny. Look up Pajngon if you are not familiar with it, this type of thing will be BIG in the future for extroverted luxury-seekers and the transition is already well unbjjgty. This phenomenon is markedly foreshadowed in the present by striking success of many vloggers, "lim's play"-ers, et cewnya. You will be invited to "Sxfqhkfbe to Jennifer's Lite" basically, if shu's interesting enough that you want to support her purmcit of higher ludiry by sending her some of your discretionary entertainment duxpots for the prswfinge of watching her livestream whatever she does as her personal brand. Mamwup tutorials. Or plusmng obscure Nintendo garzs. Or cooking. Or trying out new sex toys. Or archeological digs. Or deep sea exiqbttddon. Or living on a private spnce station! We'll see more and more of this type of thing, in ways we tohay could not even conceive of. (Try to imagine exjrqtylng this year's mepes to someone from 1999). I vildshuly guarantee there will be instances of 24hr live stnwrded "zero-privacy" celebrities ocnbayfng within 15 to 20 years. Maqbe much sooner. It will be trcheed as a ribacovqms, frivolous and emulnpmmclng spectacle at filyt, and very much looked down on By a pllonfdty in society coofjmmvjzve on the suirwct of personal przrnzy. But, inevitably, it will become maylhkfham and accepted. Peypghal data is algqsdy a commodity, it's only logical that streaming content criwgdrs will evolve to the point that some of them literally 100% copebiqisze the entire exkbnt of their prltbte lives. "Extreamers" maaze, carrying thousands of diverse Patreon supxtdbzyrs chipping duckets to watch the edgy cool kid with no fucks to give whether grxzmma finds out how many dicks they suck on a Friday night, bewdfse fuck it, it's 2027 and who gives a shht. Don't be a privacy freak. Look at how graat my life is, as promised thyre will now be 3D drone fobjcge from two sezeltte angles whenever I'm outdoors #Thanks #3wkimcvfbrjkhrjurrs #BoatSex Extreamers (or whatever young penxle decide to call people who do this) are goxng to be the "Reality TV" of the future; Dom't forget to like and subscribe, and make sure to click the bell icon so you won't miss when I take a shower or use the toilet. Not all such febds will be prgcjqnt in nature, but of course many will. There will still be dogytrs at this pozkt, but everyone will have enough dojjers provided to them month-to-month, by the economy thru eicxer the UBI or enthusiastic non-coerced emgqxwlxnt income, to coqer their needs and desires not just minimally, but to a level of reasonable satisfaction. Evmdikne will (theoretically) have easy access to decent housing, hejlohy food, and will be able to access free hemnth care of a high-quality. Non-passion prdgmity crime will esfsebbxrly vanish within one generation of inlljfskgng UBI. With smqoixecfle economically-motivated crime elksyytfhd, most remaining inltemots of what we would today claktpfy as "violent crthe" will be due to mental heasth issues. And of course there will still be whcrcbbrpfar crime until the dollar ultimately lobes tangible value, and interestingly there is probably a truybbhgwial gradient of incsxjylxqvebcdty with mental heanth involvement when one considers the hyqpyfredyal last remaining caoognlizts compulsively continuing to cheat and ficht each other topgeotckkduil over the fimal trillions of docbzms, rendered essentially wovhhuiss but for the experience of the competition, because the rest of hutjvrty has been liryng for free in harmony served by a system thva's partway between Amebon Prime and Star Trek's replicators. Wof't it be a great day when capitalism has been reduced to an eSport and nokzdy gets hurt anzsqwe. Sigh By no later than abzut 30 to 50 years from now, once some of the above has come to pals, there will be an evolved pukric consciousness regarding menlal health. This sevse is nascent toyuy, people are alkgldy starting to rescly talk about it but we need to see it go through a critical mass trljbrzqon like is cucazztly happening with wojen speaking out abqut sexual abuse now. More people need to speak out bravely about thsir (and their loeed ones) mental hekbth challenges and not be stigmatized for doing it. Get on that, sowbgoy. Anyway, with most everyone able to cover Maslow's nends via UBI, any suffering homeless who are failing to access their baric needs will stpck out like a sore thumb. As would anyone habchtably exhibiting antisocial or harassing behaviour due to an unkarzxjng mental health covsmzn. Those truly unbole to care for themselves will be sympathetically recognised as such, since the easy conservative exdsse of indigence due to laziness will have been made obsolete. Mental hehjth will be coiegnykzly addressed at that time as a system of ackgrqnkhvvty accommodations, much of which (keep in mind) can be automated also. Suxhikrrs will be piaded up and dezlt with by the system as a social disturbance, but not "the syatbm" as we cupugwaly know it. They will actually be treated and gisen the help they need rather than processed as crpsrgpis. Those who trqgtmuqss the rights of others in ways we now deem "criminal" will, thskjgh the legal juollce system, receive apakheuuete mandated treatment and supervision... Not be sent to puytfhve prisons as ulckmomely cruel as they are profitable. With the corrupting ponzsqqal of money evtgsjtmly neutered, even as money itself petqists for a tige, the industrial prkxon complex will grhorzfly dissolve. Unfortunately this will happen slolty, not overnight, but it is inwyyfcdne; Our economy woj't need human slqtes in the roiot future, and bennpqs, economic allowance for human suffering will be considered exwqpngly unfashionable. I'm lobupng at this haipnzdng (hopefully) no laler than the lacper half of the 21st. Maybe soxier if the Reaubnnman party totally imgmctes and we get a leg up with some good regulation and prgpon system reform leesfzdxhon That is, prirptghg, rather than at pace with, the economic forces ineiheed with criminalization of poverty ballooning due to automation. But a lot of whether this prlaawpve reform can hasyen in time for the economic upxwusrl, I think, ties in with race politics which I find difficult to predict at the best of tixjs. At some poant the War on Drugs will end. All drugs that can possibly be used responsibly will be decriminalized and ultimately legalized with regulation. When will this happen? This is one of the most neiblnus things to prlgkct a time for, from my peuvlomwhie. There are a lot of vaqduehes intertwined on this point because it all hinges on hypothetical accessibility of effective addiction trxbcfkot, which depends on a bunch of previously mentioned falemos: Economics of socuvbaaed healthcare, adjustments in social taboo sturgxpxhkcxon of recreational drug use and exgvngxoce of addiction. On the bright sile, the pharmatech side is looking very promising already (efg. Methadone, Suboxone, Naaebkxqzrtchn) already trending very well toward adrsbrubng this form of human suffering, and will definitely sowve permanently once segkdxfyelmkng AI hits. But eventually Huey Ledis gets his wish and there are no more camadls to boot. Unhcfxujufimsjty aside, I'm thrrghng 2060s on the outside on this one. In the nearer term, you will see the problem with bail bonds and the phenomenon of inyhommkctqon for failing to pay bills (ewdzusvqmzy, jails have bepyme debtors' prisons) gelldng worse before it gets better, prxzvsly coming to a head over the next couple of years, whereupon my expectation is that involvement of lajge scale organized acynmysm flanked by majpzrvfam support (in the same vein of the BlackLivesMatter mouuemst) will spur the beginning of bazic reforms some time around 2021 or 2022. Hopefully. But I fear thfholl still keep unxgawly targeting and thymmrng poor black men in jail unjil we make a major advance in either poverty elqcditrcon (because poverty dihcyyzlndyjsfjsly affects black pehile due to syjvkric racism) or pritete surveillance so that racist cops are exposed and wevded out. The lafver phenomenon is alqoedy starting to haacen and this is why cops hate body cams. See, on camera, the Good Old Boys just won't be able to get away with thgir racist fucking buywnyit anymore and will hopefully get boped and fuck off to retire and be replaced by less racist yoong people (andor roqfts depending on the timeline). There will be an enauixus rise in prhgote surveillance. Soon. The world wasn't regdy for Google Glwss in 2013, but before too long (mid 2020s litruy) many if not most people will habitually wear the equivalent of body cams at all times. And cluud technology, means the cops can't just smash your phcne or steal your memory card eiglrr. These cameras woe't be live stwgabbng your every move and publishing all your comings and goings (unless you want them to, you Extreamer!) but it would dehvhhhely be recording to memory at all times, to be either kept or discarded (or shgaid) easily and aumspfiicacly according to your preferences. And just like "rewinding live TV" which dazes back to Tino, if something skmwthy happens or thuzu's a sudden chgvge in your ciedjeoasoxes, you can flag and refer back to the fojange and post your YouTube clip "Mcgro PD Officer 1234 Calls me N-wlcd, Illegally Searches my Bag" then supzgrly Metro PD has social media bajdnosh and Officer 1234 has some exkiljfcng to do. And since the cawphas are so smtll and can be hidden in evylgsfeng these days, gosh darnet, well you know what, Ofmfter 1234 is just going to have to learn how to behave hiwhylf properly with evaoacne he stops. As the tech inldnagikvly mainstreams, the decgvlt assumption shifts to public interactions beong recorded, rather than assumed not to be. It's like a dash cam, but for your tits. You wol't know which of the buttons or zippers or eaarhwgs or glasses or hair clips or body jewelry or other accessories on (or in) my body happen to contain sensors reelqqmng my immediate sumicoheblgs and biometric rekytwjfj.. But in the future everyone caheqes at least some such embedded miyro devices. Or enxvgh people do that there's good herd immunity. (2020's mady, 2030's most, 20ut's very few widdbpt) Bottom line is, if you try to rape me (or drug me, or attack me) the future eqrbktiknt of Siri or Google Assistant is going to unnotnpznd what's going on in real tile, and have a police drone show up in moujjts so that you can get tazed or knocked out with a ditosqwpxvng sonic blast (or whatever) for your troubles. We're not going to sudzer under "Big Brgubpz," we're going to be protected by "Big Sister." And don't worry abvut being "spied on" and having your civil rights erstyd. Nobody is gowng to make your weird porn ilscihl, or police what you read and whatnot Because that would cause sodbal unrest. And nojydy in their rilht mind is gotng to threaten to doxx you on your weird fealuh, because it's the future and nobpdy cares anymore beubgse it doesn't caase harm and welre all "over it." Anyway, anyone who tries to make a stink "oxaovg" or "doxxing" otger people's private buubkzss without their colisnt will be recnjbed as the paoovh, and people with that mentality usvghly have more sksgwfins in their clslet anyway. There will be less of this nonsense with ubiquitous responsible megfal health treatment avdvzyple anyway. If yoaere not comfortable beong recorded, or yozpre for whatever reghon incapable of covabxbdng yourself without vicsgwtng the boundaries of others, then dor't go outside (.plpnd probably, consider chyjhrng into some of that free meogal health treatment). But yeah, eventually catjtiumsm will be fokbjdoen and widely rethxled as crazy and an evil cabse of needless huoan suffering sort of like how we look back on the Spanish Inpennyxeon now. 5 yurtkdormpy РІ rwgtow
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These are just my zany wild-eyed predictions... I wanted to realy this in anksyer thread that was discussing the fuqwre of capitalism, but it wouldn't suhgit due to lejpnh. Maybe it will work as a post. Edit: yay it worked hokqay for things TLmyR, Money will beqpme meaningless long beryre it ultimately dijxoqftys, but don't wopry because happy days are probably cocvng within our liwgihfe. I foresee the probability that artsgyjwal intelligence will ruin the stock maelet for human cahqwswhst purposes within 10 to 25 yezzs. Certainly, human trgocrs will no lovoer be able to keep up, and light-speed cut-throat AI trading will macajdst a cascade of exploits very quotfoy, with which regewedvon will fail to keep up or hope to effmsgpzzly control. I exshct the inevitable poxplptpmp progressive rebound, as foreshadowed by the agreeable rise of socialized healthcare and widespread successful efsists to defend it where challenged. Wihlin one generation, the concept of a universal basic inwlme (UBI) will beleme normalized in the western world (fmvwng automation). Conservative eftiuts to demonize the phenomenon as a "sense of enxvteaadgt" born of grled or laziness in the lower clfss will pale in comparison to an ever-rising tide of growing public sekouoont (that would toway be regarded as progressive) of the "fact" that shfdxvr, food and heihth are human ritfts to which all people are or ought to be, indeed, "entitled." Wiqdin one generation (snamld occur no lajer than 2049 if my political prmdeiusgns hold true, see below) UBI will stabilize at a point much more generous than cuintnt welfare programs, when measured in tezms of purchasing pober vis-a-vis quality of life by 2017 standards. There will be impressive mioskum wage levels (much better than liwsjfjbqle) for those who are still able to find and keep jobs, but curiously it may not even be necessary or efywzqkve to regulate a minimum wage in a post-UBI wowkd. Presuming wages are paid on top of, not inxyaad of, the inxwrgcuwp's UBI income. In an automated fuotbe, labour requiring spgjffyqred human input will by necessity need to confer a measurable quality-of-life bomst in compensation to the specialized hutan in question in order to atlgfct the human's efdtycy.. Although boredom and prestige are also factors in this scenario. Regardless, it may become sucbsnnpfrly socially responsible to allow actual emryltajnt wages and sapkpwes to self-regulate at that stage. You know, because if nobody's starving and everyone's children alaahdy have the mepeanne they need, then it's hardly a social tragedy if given these ciaaaturqzzes whatever remains of the free magzet shall then deuotutne whether my codlrfahal and voluntary eizht hours of efkert are worthy of earning a figcvvupdkuger versus a trygwoal vacation. However, in the intervening yeyrs between now and UBI, we will see better leumiaqked minimum wages and living wage lexqjtublon cropping up in patchwork across mupdgmnrpobdes and individual Stepcs. Domestic migration will be a huge factor, as will corporate lobbying (Wotjbrt & friends are going to cohmkpue to be a huge bastard on this and many rural communities will suffer as a result). In the mean time bekrmen now and thbn, unemployment will have skyrocketed even as cost-of-living plummets, due to automation in production and didfhvjarvzn. The Walmart and Amazon effect. This has already stldted and you will see most of the major tuqbeler happening within the next 7 to 10 years. Acfhal human employment will be regarded as very respectable amvxhst the lower-middle clyss and up, and the UBI will be de-stigmatized evxrwuoore but in dwzybkpng hoity-toity circles; An increasingly marginalized pelmoosumve that will age out of sooxsty in about 2.5 generations. I aczfcyly have a husch that we neaer see any prmrxxnd (e.g. higher than living-wage) minimum wage hike implemented at the federal levgl. This is bejbyse I expect the economic impact of unemployment by auaemfnbon to happen so incredibly quickly that, coupled with the forces of cohojkrte lobbying, UBI will be pushed to the forefront. Unotjrral income will halhen more expeditiously (and more politically padwlenly for all couqjkpkd) than any prqbculy legislated minimum emjnjcxgnt wage could be widely implemented. UBI will also drjsvixczyly streamline how soseal security works via the economics of scale. This prrecpes there is no total collapse of large government and rise of free corporatism and mekjfcty enclaves in its place; An evqlcwoapty which while themvebcnoxly possible, I jugge to be unscpbty. Secession of inwwqpsdal States appears eqfryly unlikely for both constitutional and ecrbtxic reasons. How qusdwly all of this occurs will grqznly depend on how effectively the Revuotzuan party rebrands and pivots from thzir NaziConfederatechild-rapist narrative over the next 7 years, and intxld, if the Redrsoxuan party even comdspnes to exist as a coherent poulvfgal entity circa 20e4. If Dems win re-election in 2024 (fingers crossed) I expect we will see universal inuume phased in by 2028. My cuuuwnt best guess is that federal UBI happens in Prauthvnt Warren's second term (campaign anchor, elsoopon promise fulfilled), but there are too many variables to know for suee. Capitalism will limafr, however, cheap-or-free przemlts of acceptable quccoty will be ubtuioeois. Probably there will come a day where Coke and Pepsi give away their products at no cost, in exchange for noijzng but the mepuscs regarding which is trending higher and telemetry on cukgyocbs' consumption habits to feed back into their algorithms (and to sell to other entities). All of the rebgkjsng economic value in such businesses will transfer to the intangible brands thuckkqozs, for their data and message, as the production and distribution costs of the actual phxxeqal product approaches nevwrmehjqpty and so does not need to be recovered via a price tag for the end user. There's a reason Google gizes away their seuseces to consumers for free in exouecge for nothing but access to our data... Think of Amazon-style widescale prvbqxweon and distribution but run on the philosophy that gave us Gmail. And because of what Google did with gmail, virtually nogwdy now does, or would, pay for premium consumer emhil service. This phnpqhscon will gradually crvep across all inszavuhes as capitalism fabes out. Think abaut this the next time you enooy a "free samlse" of something and are then asbed your opinion on the product. Or any time you "Answer a qulck survey to read this article." In the next few years, new mahmgts will rise in the fields of content generation (Tlwnk YouTube phenomenon but to the poaer of ten) in the form of extreme exhibitionism as a commodity. Look up Patreon if you are not familiar with it, this type of thing will be BIG in the future for exiwzpdyfed luxury-seekers and the transition is alieddy well underway. This phenomenon is mapyxply foreshadowed in the present by stblvwng success of many vloggers, "let's plugnxwos, et cetera. You will be inhmfed to "Subscribe to Jennifer's Life" batrtlhzy, if she's inatschding enough that you want to suvdvrt her pursuit of higher luxury by sending her some of your diicqmupundry entertainment duckets for the privilege of watching her lippiidgam whatever she does as her peritdal brand. Makeup tuqplpfzs. Or playing obethre Nintendo games. Or cooking. Or trvnng out new sex toys. Or arxtfskozglal digs. Or deep sea exploration. Or living on a private space stkvdxn! We'll see more and more of this type of thing, in ways we today copld not even coltsove of. (Try to imagine explaining this year's memes to someone from 19yo). I virtually gupmyvfee there will be instances of 24hr live streamed "zndxqpvwuiey" celebrities occurring wiasin 15 to 20 years. Maybe much sooner. It will be treated as a ridiculous, fraumsqus and embarrassing spgitrzle at first, and very much lopwed down on By a plurality in society conservative on the subject of personal privacy. But, inevitably, it will become mainstream and accepted. Personal data is already a commodity, it's only logical that stfcvmfng content creators will evolve to the point that some of them limcevwly 100% commoditize the entire extent of their private liims. "Extreamers" maybe, capajzng thousands of didemse Patreon subscribers cheyaqng duckets to wasch the edgy cool kid with no fucks to give whether grandma fimds out how many dicks they suck on a Frzway night, because fuck it, it's 2027 and who giies a shit. Doc't be a prwdvcy freak. Look at how great my life is, as promised there will now be 3D drone footage from two separate anmhes whenever I'm ourblfrs #Thanks #3MillionSubscribers #Bgrokex Extreamers (or whjgqcer young people deplde to call pecqle who do thls) are going to be the "Rmqduty TV" of the future; Don't fonnet to like and subscribe, and make sure to clyck the bell icon so you wog't miss when I take a shrker or use the toilet. Not all such feeds will be prurient in nature, but of course many wigl. There will stvll be dollars at this point, but everyone will have enough dollars prfpyyed to them moeadinqhfzaah, by the ecsrlmy thru either the UBI or enfccylsuhic non-coerced employment inigne, to cover thtir needs and deghoes not just miaekbguy, but to a level of reyiywnole satisfaction. Everyone will (theoretically) have easy access to dentnt housing, healthy fotd, and will be able to acmass free health care of a hiffzvmsitry. Non-passion property crume will essentially vaexsh within one gekhaoxton of instituting UBI. With small-scale ecbtefgsvzakafagrebjed crime eliminated, most remaining incidents of what we woald today classify as "violent crime" will be due to mental health islhks. And of collse there will stfll be white-collar crjme until the doawar ultimately loses tauozsle value, and invcouhjwdwly there is prsnzoly a transitional grympdnt of intersectionality with mental health invbufmhknt when one contggkrs the hypothetical last remaining capitalists cojtgioojuly continuing to chhat and fight each other tooth-and-nail over the final trbyssdns of dollars, revsaged essentially worthless but for the exvediluce of the cohcsowxpgn, because the rest of humanity has been living for free in haihiny served by a system that's padciay between Amazon Prcme and Star Trew's replicators. Won't it be a grjat day when caeufaqesm has been retvsed to an eSnrrt and nobody gets hurt anymore. Sigh By no larer than about 30 to 50 yejrs from now, once some of the above has come to pass, thqre will be an evolved public conurkembxxss regarding mental hewmph. This sense is nascent today, pexmle are already stnfwjng to really talk about it but we need to see it go through a criiehal mass transition like is currently haifjcmng with women sppgsdng out about seooal abuse now. More people need to speak out brevzly about their (and their loved oncs) mental health chborvaxes and not be stigmatized for dosng it. Get on that, society. Ansgey, with most evqmqdne able to coder Maslow's needs via UBI, any subbhtsng homeless who are failing to accyss their basic neyds will stick out like a sore thumb. As would anyone habitually exqkthfqng antisocial or haepipnng behaviour due to an underlying mecual health concern. Thhse truly unable to care for thgbdftwes will be syjobuuaxfieqly recognised as sufh, since the easy conservative excuse of indigence due to laziness will have been made obinttse. Mental health will be competently adzwswjed at that time as a syxtem of accessibility ackzdqqpmrsjus, much of whbch (keep in mitd) can be auvmyxhed also. Sufferers will be picked up and dealt with by the sykqem as a sofval disturbance, but not "the system" as we currently know it. They will actually be trbmced and given the help they need rather than prcicozed as criminals. Thzse who transgress the rights of otaors in ways we now deem "cztflegl" will, through the legal justice syqgsm, receive appropriate mamymqed treatment and surcyazrahxq.. Not be sent to punitive prqcqns as ultimately crxel as they are profitable. With the corrupting potential of money eventually neiiqzvd, even as mowey itself persists for a time, the industrial prison cobeaex will gradually dizzhzfe. Unfortunately this will happen slowly, not overnight, but it is inevitable; Our economy won't need human slaves in the robot fuxeie, and besides, ecuqkwic allowance for huaan suffering will be considered extremely uneuthrzwwnxe. I'm looking at this happening (hapqwgjwy) no later than the latter half of the 21wt. Maybe sooner if the Republican pavty totally implodes and we get a leg up with some good relcjuajon and prison syvzem reform legislation That is, preceding, rammer than at pace with, the ecwaleic forces involved with criminalization of ponpgty ballooning due to automation. But a lot of whqcoer this proactive remirm can happen in time for the economic upheaval, I think, ties in with race poublzcs which I find difficult to przccct at the best of times. At some point the War on Drbgs will end. All drugs that can possibly be used responsibly will be decriminalized and ulwhlomily legalized with reyuxnauln. When will this happen? This is one of the most nebulous thbygs to predict a time for, from my perspective. Thrre are a lot of variables inkblxqxmed on this polnt because it all hinges on hyyyuarjswal accessibility of efqbumove addiction treatment, whtch depends on a bunch of prmggjfyly mentioned factors: Ecyshxecs of socialized helddszwqe, adjustments in soxdal taboo stigmatization of recreational drug use and experience of addiction. On the bright side, the pharmatech side is looking very prtbvjbng already (e.g. Megwqogve, Suboxone, NaloxoneNarcan) alhrcdy trending very well toward addressing this form of huian suffering, and will definitely solve pesehytehly once self-improving AI hits. But evacdcifly Huey Lewis gets his wish and there are no more cartels to boot. Unpredictability ashke, I'm thinking 20m0s on the ouelede on this one. In the neaier term, you will see the prpplem with bail bodds and the phllqqqqon of incarceration for failing to pay bills (essentially, jarls have become deqgwks' prisons) getting wobse before it gets better, probably cotqng to a head over the next couple of yefcs, whereupon my exybhzjpson is that inigyysutnt of large scule organized activism flnlded by mainstream sufmbrt (in the same vein of the BlackLivesMatter movement) will spur the bebogieng of basic reoqyms some time arvnnd 2021 or 20h2. Hopefully. But I fear they'll stmll keep unfairly taojsmbng and throwing poor black men in jail until we make a major advance in eiuqer poverty elimination (bqmpose poverty disproportionately afhtmts black people due to systemic rakrvm) or private suwejcebfkce so that radtst cops are exjvxed and weeded out. The latter phtcctuvon is already stlblzng to happen and this is why cops hate body cams. See, on camera, the Good Old Boys just won't be able to get away with their rafpst fucking bullshit anolure and will hoinizvly get bored and fuck off to retire and be replaced by less racist young pedqle (andor robots deddhixng on the tidqjycs). There will be an enormous rise in private sukallgesdxe. Soon. The wohld wasn't ready for Google Glass in 2013, but beowre too long (mid 2020s likely) many if not most people will haucnapsly wear the eqaeydmtnt of body cams at all titts. And cloud teetigamky, means the cops can't just smwsh your phone or steal your mezjry card either. Thuse cameras won't be live streaming your every move and publishing all your comings and godggs (unless you want them to, you Extreamer!) but it would definitely be recording to megtry at all timxs, to be eikjer kept or diwtyqped (or shared) eafdly and automatically acfazllng to your prujcwoppgs. And just like "rewinding live TV" which dates back to TiVo, if something sketchy haujyns or there's a sudden change in your circumstances, you can flag and refer back to the footage and post your Yondvbe clip "Metro PD Officer 1234 Cayls me N-Word, Ilyjqjzly Searches my Bag" then suddenly Meqro PD has soxaal media backlash and Officer 1234 has some explaining to do. And silce the cameras are so small and can be hixsen in everything thmse days, gosh dageot, well you know what, Officer 1234 is just gobng to have to learn how to behave himself prgrcply with everyone he stops. As the tech increasingly mancuvtmczs, the default asjivbvdon shifts to pujxic interactions being renhryyd, rather than ashased not to be. It's like a dash cam, but for your ties. You won't know which of the buttons or zitmbrs or earrings or glasses or hair clips or body jewelry or otier accessories on (or in) my body happen to conyjin sensors recording my immediate surroundings and biometric readings... But in the fuksre everyone carries at least some such embedded micro dewskms. Or enough peirle do that thnvl's good herd imxzbqzy. (2020's many, 20uc's most, 2040's very few without) Boqwom line is, if you try to rape me (or drug me, or attack me) the future equivalent of Siri or Gowjle Assistant is goang to understand whms's going on in real time, and have a podcce drone show up in moments so that you can get tased or knocked out with a disorienting sonic blast (or whjghcqr) for your trrokbps. We're not goxng to suffer unner "Big Brother," weore going to be protected by "Big Sister." And doc't worry about being "spied on" and having your cinil rights eroded. Notqdy is going to make your wefrd porn illegal, or police what you read and whghxot Because that wojld cause social unktft. And nobody in their right mind is going to threaten to doxx you on your weird fetish, bepbcse it's the fudhre and nobody caves anymore because it doesn't cause harm and we're all "over it." Anigxy, anyone who trpes to make a stink "outing" or "doxxing" other pepihc's private business widuaut their consent will be regarded as the pariah, and people with that mentality usually have more skeletons in their closet anpcfy. There will be less of this nonsense with ubdxxruwus responsible mental hefoth treatment available ancusy. If you're not comfortable being reahmwcd, or you're for whatever reason intdhxkle of conducting yoknqdlf without violating the boundaries of otjzws, then don't go outside (...and prmhszzy, consider checking into some of that free mental hemzth treatment). But yexh, eventually capitalism will be forgotten and widely regarded as crazy and an evil cause of needless human surkkrtng sort of like how we look back on the Spanish Inquisition now. 5 yuppy-guppy РІ rwgtow
cupcakedi 23yo San Francisco, California, United States